Thursday, January 19, 2006

December Housing Starts Fall More Than Forecast

From Bloomberg:

U.S. Housing Starts Fell 8.9% in December to 1.933 Million Rate

U.S. housing starts dropped more than forecast in December as slowing sales caused builders to pull back at the end of the industry's second-best year ever.

Builders broke ground on 1.933 million new homes at an annual rate last month, a decline of 8.9 percent from November's 2.121 million pace and the fewest since March, the Commerce Department said in Washington. Last year, 2.065 million homes were started, second only to the record 2.356 million in 1972.

...

``Things will cool off and cool off considerably,'' said Kevin Logan, senior market economist at Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein in New York, before the report. ``Price appreciation has created a situation where it's very unlikely that sales will keep increasing. The overall contribution of housing to economic growth will go from being highly positive to slightly negative.''

...

Construction declined in three of four regions. They declined 24 percent in the Midwest to 295,000; 22 percent in the West to 433,000; and 14 percent in the Northeast to 172,000. They rose 5.2 percent in the South.

Caveat Emptor,
Grim

4 Comments:

Blogger grim said...

Building permits were under forecast as well, 2068k versus consensus of 2100k. This was down from 2163k last month.

grim

1/19/2006 08:56:00 AM  
Blogger xSparta said...

Steve Leisman from MSNBC said he is not convinced these are correct numbers. He said the slowdown was "Weather" related. Does anyone have these starts segmentd by areas of the country. If he is correct we should see declines only in "Bad Weather" areas.

Dream on Steve

1/19/2006 04:04:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

2006 forecast for the country can be found at the below link.

http://money.cnn.com/pf/features/lists/re_growth_forecast/

1/24/2006 12:55:00 PM  
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4/18/2006 11:23:00 PM  

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