Monday, November 07, 2005

Price Reduced! 11/1 - 11/7

It's time for yet another episode of Price Reduced! For all the newcomers to this blog, Price Reduced! takes a good look at a handful of significant price reductions across Northern NJ. The purpose of this exercise is to serve as proof that the Northern New Jersey real estate market has long since been overvalued and has started the long hard decline back to the mean. These listings are in no way an endorsement by myself, nor do I believe they are a bargain or a value. Even reduced, I still believe these homes are still grossly overpriced.

With that, the listings please!

Our winner by a longshot this week:

MLS# 2205115 Millburn, N.J.
Prior Asking Price: $1,999,000
Reduced To: $1,199,000 (40% Reduction)
Note: This might have been an error in listing price.

Not too far behind:

Elizabeth, N.J. MLS# 2212184
Prior Asking Price: $285,000
Reduced To: $225,000 (21% Reduction)

South Orange, N.J. MLS# 2096614
Prior Asking Price: $1,314,200
Reduced To: $1,040,175 (20% Reduction)
Listing Link
Why anyone would pay a million for a townhome in SO is beyond me.

Clifton, N.J. MLS# 2083061
Prior Asking Price: $625,000
Reduced To: $499,000 (20% Reduction)
Listing Link

Morris Plains, N.J. MLS# 2077918
Prior Asking Price: $1,200,000
Reduced To: $995,000 (17% Reduction)

Springfield, N.J. MLS# 2097902
Prior Asking Price: $599,000
Reduced To: $499,000 (17% Reduction)
Listing Link

Glen Ridge, N.J. MLS# 2203044
Prior Asking Price: $579,000
Reduced To: $499,000 (14% Reduction)
Listing Link

Livingston, N.J. MLS# 2033421
Prior Asking Price: $2,195,000
Reduced To: $1,900,000 (13% Reduction)
Note: New Construction

Millburn, N.J. MLS# 2094937
Prior Asking Price: $2,295,000
Reduced To: $1,999,000 (13% Reduction)
Listing Link

Upper Saddle River, N.J. MLS# 2069051
Prior Asking Price: $2,090,000
Reduced To: $1,849,900 (11% Reduction)
Listing Link

I'll cut it off there, the list is spectacular this week, over 823 price reductions on the GSMLS alone. The total price reduction over those listings was came to a bit over $60,000,000, and an average reduction of 4%, just spectacular!

Note to prospective buyers, just relax and hang tight, you are not missing anything, you will not be priced out. In fact, the longer you wait, the longer the chances are that you'll be priced in.

Caveat Emptor!
Grim

13 Comments:

Blogger grim said...

The Millburn change was indeed an error, the original listing price was $1,250,000.

grim

11/07/2005 05:29:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Avg price reduction 4%. HAHAHAHAHA

Add a 3 in front of the 4 and bid. Not before.

It's all smoke and mirrors now. 4% off of a already insane price means nothing but insane price after token reduction.

11/07/2005 08:20:00 PM  
Blogger grim said...

I'd think worse than 80 for some, more like work 'till you die.

grim

11/08/2005 06:27:00 AM  
Blogger grim said...

Psychology won't let the market fall that quickly. Many people look at the listing prices as if they were sticker prices on a car. If they can negotiate a few thousand off, they feel like big winners.

Unfortunately, there are still too many greater fools thinking they can, and hoping to, find a bargain in the market.

Let me tell you one thing though, I'm shocked at the lenders television ads lately...

Cash Out The Home Equity You Earned!

This won't be pretty.

grim

11/08/2005 11:49:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

http://money.cnn.com/2005/11/07/real_estate/buying_selling/housing_affordability/index.htm?cnn=yes

"
Bob Moulton, founder of Americana Mortgage Group, said the higher rates have already had a significant impact on his business. "Monday morning is usually my busiest time," he said. "I've had only a half dozen applications today."

For homeowners with existing adjustable-rate mortgages, the rise in interest rates comes as especially bad news. When the rates to these loans adjust higher, monthly bills can leap. Homeowners with interest-only ARMs may see an especially large increase.

Moulton says that for some ARMs that have recently come up for adjustment, the adjusted rates were actually higher than the rates for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages.

These trends point to a softening housing market, especially in the especially overheated markets. It also could spell trouble for the overall economy since cash from refinancing has helped fuel consumer spending, which has, in turn, helped prop up the economy.
"

11/08/2005 01:27:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Grim

What is the source of your data. I have been watching the Morris plains MLS you listed and I dont think the price was reduced. It still is the original price

11/08/2005 08:11:00 PM  
Blogger grim said...

Anon,

GSMLS Hot Sheet, listed as a price change for 11/7. Looking at it right now. Interesting that the OLP isn't showing a 1.2 though, is that what you are looking at?

A Morris Plains Boro 2323 75 XXXXXX Rd. 1200000 $995,000 Colonial 7 3 2.0 1 Y 000607 11/07/05

grim

11/08/2005 08:35:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I'm interested in buying in Whippany. There's about 34 pieces of property on sale, most of it way overpriced (especially the townhouses). Most of the properties have been on the market for months, but no takers and the price decreases (very few) have only been about 2-4%. These people must not be in a rush to sell!

11/08/2005 09:29:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Your post in price reduced

Morris Plains, N.J. MLS# 2077918
Prior Asking Price: $1,200,000
Reduced To: $995,000 (17% Reduction).

I have been watching this listing but never came across the 1200000 number. Where did you get that number from

11/08/2005 10:38:00 PM  
Blogger grim said...

Anon,

Do you have access to GSMLS? If you run a days-back hotsheet for 11/7, it pops up, I posted the data right from the sheet.

A Morris Plains Boro 2323 75 XXXXXX Rd. 1200000 $995,000 Colonial 7 3 2.0 1 Y 000607 11/07/05

Sorry it's not formatted, but the 1200000 shows as original price, and the 995,000 as the new price.

What I'm saying is that if you take a look at the listing, it doesn't show as a price reduction, the OLP (Original Listing Price) is 995,000. So the question is, why is it showing on the hot sheet as a price reduction? Data issues? Keying error? I can't say why.

grim

11/09/2005 06:33:00 AM  
Blogger grim said...

Can someone with GSMLS access go out an independently verify this?

All you need to do is run a days back hotsheet for morris county/morris plains from 11/1 to 11/7.

Thanks

11/09/2005 07:14:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I have access to the GSMLS (I won't reveal the street, but it is on 1.98 acres).

Seems to me that the price on this unit has actually increased.
I see the original listing price as 950K, and it is now 995K.

Anyhow, prices are not decreasing everywhere (I underbid on a place for myself in West Orange just a week ago - the townhome ended up selling above asking).

11/10/2005 06:53:00 PM  
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