Weekend Open Discussion
Observations about your local areas, comments on news stories or the New Jersey housing bubble, Open House reports, etc. If you have any questions you wanted to ask earlier in the week but never posted them up, let's have them.
For readers that have never commented, there is a small link on the bottom of each new message that reads "# Comments". Go ahead and give that a click, you might be missing out on a world of information you didn't know about. While you are there, introduce yourselves to everyone.
For new readers that have only read the messages displayed on the main page, take a look through the archives, a substantial amount of information has been put online in the past 6 months. The archives can be found at the bottom of the right hand menu and are categorized by month.
As always, anything goes!
For readers that have never commented, there is a small link on the bottom of each new message that reads "# Comments". Go ahead and give that a click, you might be missing out on a world of information you didn't know about. While you are there, introduce yourselves to everyone.
For new readers that have only read the messages displayed on the main page, take a look through the archives, a substantial amount of information has been put online in the past 6 months. The archives can be found at the bottom of the right hand menu and are categorized by month.
As always, anything goes!
89 Comments:
Sorry updates were light today. I'll make up for it this weekend.
grim
How about a discussion of the 10Y yield?
4.96
Oversold? Risk premiums being priced in? Overreaction to the economic data today?
Boooooyaaaah!
Boycott open Houses.
Housing Bust progressing.
It takes time for sellers to accept....greed and denial are strong emotions.
BOOOOYAAAAAH!
Bob
Anyone else get Madonna tickets yet?
*oops*
Sorry. Wrong board.
LOL.
Although BTW, if you think housing prices are crazy, check out concert tickets lately. It;s costng my $350 big ones plus ticketmaster service fees to go see Madonna!!!
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
grim said...
How about a discussion of the 10Y yield? 4.96
Oversold? Risk premiums being priced in? Overreaction to the economic data today?
5:17 PM
It should have a "6" handle not a "4 almost 5" handle.
I make you a bet that going from 4 to 5 [9+ months] is going to be a heck of a lot slower than 5 to 6.
We are only 100 bps from some serious news.
Depeche Mode at the Borgata is a bargain at $125. I guess in reality it is really $625 when you factor in that I will lose $500 at craps and blackjack
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
grim:
Wall Street? Is this a recruiting trip? ;)
Do the Anti-Cost dudes know this?
Depeche Mode, David Gilmour, and Madonna--not the usual caliber of conversation . . . . It must be a back-to-the-80s Friday!
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/12193786/
Figured I'd throw out a little bit of news on the clamp down. BTW grim did you get to ring the bell today?
Walked passed the NYSE, I wasn't down on Wall Street since 9/11.
Was actually nice to see the M16's patrolling the area.
grim
Saw 3 open house signs at fsbo's on my way home from work tonight. I don't remember seeing open house signs on a Friday before!
Dear Grim!
I wish you had an area where we could post "Wretched Realtor News!"
I admit, I worked with two lovely women at Burgdorff in NJ. (yes, Burgdorff, boo, but the ladies themselves were VEDDY UPPER CRUSTY PERFECT AND LOVELY.) Then i switched to another Realtor.
OMG! She became my dual agent and I cannot even tell you how badly she almost screwed me! If I was not the paranoid bitch that I am (Read, I used to work in insurance) I would be SO SCREWED.
Basically, she verbally stated my Radon (and I have posted prior on the topic of Radon, so "Truth in Advertising") level was acceptable. What she failed to mention was that the test was declared invalid by my housing inspector because the seller had disregarded his explicit instructions and OPENED THE DOORS TO THE HOME. (Bad Seller, Bad Seller! Actually, I like the seller, he was stupid, but OK, he had bigger things than me to worry about) What irritated me was that my Realtor ACTUALLY LIED TO ME! (okay, call me bloody Pollyanna!)
I happened to open up my mail and read, "Radon reading 2.5, Test Invalid Due to Open Door."
Aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaak!! I immediately e-mailed my attorney post haste (i.e. fix this!) and my realtor (you cannot sweep this under the rug, I am not liable for your seller screwing up my test.) Because my Realtor is a Dual Agent. (read "Double Agent') she did not help me whatsoever and managed to leave me an obnoxious voicemail message,"Your inability to sign off on the Radon Test is costing my customer thousands of dollars!"
Halooo! I AM your bloody customer! Can you believe that?!?!? Finally, I e-mailed everyone, no tickee no lookee (a.k.a No Warranty, No Signee) She stopped talking to me that day - Uggggh, and she still gets her 3 percent!!!
Of course, I fought for and received my Radon Warranty, but I am still PISSED! Please warn your readers to be EXTRA CAREFUL when using an Dual (Double) Agent. They are COMPLETELY USELESS so as a buyer, you had better also have a fabulous Housing Inspector and Lawyer just to pick up the slack.
I'm with you Bob, boycott open houses!
Hope those seats are in the front 10 rows Michelle!
"Depeche Mode at the Borgata is a bargain at $125."
I was going to buy tickets to that show, but was unfamiliar with the Borgata venue. The whole place is standing only for concerts?
Is it good to see a show there, or is it a mob scene without assigned seats, and everyone pushing to get up front?
I haven't seen a show at the Borgata. However, I've walked throught the event center when it was set up for a concert. The floor is general admission, but it has risers of about 25 rows that have assigned seats. The main issue is that the venue is SMALL (5,000?), and the risers are relatively close to the stage, so the view is elevated and close. It just looks as if it will be great.
I just have to make sure I show up with no cash, ATM cards, credit cards.
David Lereah gives me A Pain That I'm Used To.
Is anybody here at all familar with what's going on in Wildwood, North Wildwood and the crest, there are currently about 2000 properties for sale. Does anyone have first hand knowledge of the situation there.
Thanks
(PS) I have checked the jersey shore bubble blog nothing there.
Thanks rentinginnj
I have a friend purchased one of those new const. with the idea of flipping, she did not count on making on mtg payment has mad 5 ): I myself have not gone down there but just the records I can acess indicate to me she is in trouble. I will be taking a ride down by the end of this month as my husband and I have been going down for years, knew all the motels but so many are gone now we don't know where to book. Last time we went summer of 04 they were building like crazy and 2 hotels we had stayed in prior were gone. We stayed across from a knock down and it was too noisy. This should be and interesting trip.
To: Still Pissed Trish and Grim:
I too would like to see a Wretched Realty Sales Agent thread, as I am sure there are many enlightening truths, which can be exposed, since we all know, the real estate industry has a whole trunk of secrets, scams and schemes which do not see the light of day. It would be great to expose them through a discussion.
The first one, and most common, which comes to mind, is- right after a buyer makes a bid on a house, (even if it has been sitting without offers for months) - the realty sales agent says- “another bid is coming in tonight”, “another couple is making an offer.” Obviously, this outright and most common LIE is to make you bid higher, or for you to make compromises in the transaction process down the line with negotiations.
Another is the "agent" is not YOUR agent, but is a agent of the BROKER, whom they work for. Has any agent or broker told you that?
Can anyone think of others?
Hello, Does anyone have the full text to this article, I'm dieing to read the whole thing:
Flipper says good-bye to Jersey
Diary of a real estate flipper
It wants me to pay 149.00 for the priviledge of reading this article.
Rentinginnj,
On your question on the predictive power of the inverted yield curve now that it has steepened, the original study was by a professor, Campbell Harvey. His study found that when the 3 month T-bill yield is higher than the 10 year T-bond yield for 90 days or more, a recession was likely. In the recent case the curve was inverted for only 38 days. Even if no recession occurs, the predictive power of the inverted curve is not rebutted.
Just a heads up, I'm going to keep pushing the "Weekend Open Discussion" thread at the top, but new posts will show up below..
jb
grim:
Can I log a complaint about Blogger?
No me gusta.
Es muy dificil para usar.
chicago
Excellent article about NJ:
The Mob That Whacked Jersey
by Steven Malanga
How rapacious government withered the Garden State
http://www.city-journal.org/html/16_2_new_jersey.html
This might be completely unrealistic, but here goes...My wife and I work in NYC (mid-town) and I am looking for a home in NJ that is a reasonable commute. We also have kids that are starting school. We're probably somewhere in the middle in terms of income. Based on that, can I get suggestions for towns/places to live?
Michelle: Please go on the world tour. Do not hurry back. We will miss your insightful comments. Cheers.
Dear Anon 745am
I would like to see a wretched real estate thread -if only to explain some things from a different point of view.
"The first one, and most common, which comes to mind, is- right after a buyer makes a bid on a house, (even if it has been sitting without offers for months) - the realty sales agent says- “another bid is coming in tonight”, “another couple is making an offer.” Obviously, this outright and most common LIE is to make you bid higher, or for you to make compromises in the transaction process down the line with negotiations. '
I have had so many instances like the one you describe above, however I am not the listing agent I am the buyer's agent. I too have felt many times that they are lying to me. All of a suddent I have a buyer and now there is a lot of buyers. I cannot accuse the agent of lying ( I wish I could) and I have to relay the information to my clients. I relay it along with my opinion, which is they should not have to buy a house (major life purchase) under these circumstances, I assure them I will find them another equally as good or better home - this one was not meant to be- and every other thing I can say to convince them they should not be involved in this. Sometimes it works, sometimes it doesnt. You have no idea how many times I wished buyers would stop this overbidding, doing anything to get the house. I have felt that as soon as they stop ( collectivly) this nonsense of skyrocketing prices would come to an end. But had some of my buyers listened to me a couple years ago they would not have gotten the appreciation they did, so I look like and idiot.
So while I have never said there was an offer when it was'nt told to me I hage having to relay it to my clients, when I have doubted it myself. There have been many instances that know of that I lost customers to other agents in my feeble attempts to save them from themselves.
KL
KL,
That exact scenario happened to a colleague at work.
Home was on the market about 90 days now. Neighbors say it was on the market longer than that.
Put in a verbal offer, and all of the sudden they were asked to bid higher because they had another offer come in.
Needless to say, the sellers agent called the buyers agent a few days later to ask if they were still interested. I told him put in an even lower bid with a 24h contingency, but they decided to pass.
The description on MLS was updated to include the words "Motivated Sellers" the next day.
grim
Just an FYI, the verbal offer was a lowball, a little more than 10% under current asking (I believe the house was already reduced 20-30k).
grim
Anonymous said...
This might be completely unrealistic, but here goes...My wife and I work in NYC (mid-town) and I am looking for a home in NJ that is a reasonable commute. We also have kids that are starting school. We're probably somewhere in the middle in terms of income. Based on that, can I get suggestions for towns/places to live?
10:07 AM
================================
There was a discussion some weeks back about this topic. If Blogger wasn't such a bad interface, we could easily direct you to it.
My Quickie list: Montclair area; Summit area; Westfield only; Ridgewood area; Gold Coast for elementary ages only / private school preferred
"The first one, and most common, which comes to mind, is- right after a buyer makes a bid on a house, (even if it has been sitting without offers for months) - the realty sales agent says- “another bid is coming in tonight”, “another couple is making an offer.” Obviously, this outright and most common LIE is to make you bid higher, or for you to make compromises in the transaction process down the line with negotiations."
I've seen this several times before. I just paid no attention to what 'someone else' was doing, and offered what I felt the property was worth.
Once, I think there were actually other bidders, but I left my offer at what I felt was fair, and said "that's my offer." I'd rather 'lose a deal,' than bid against either myself, or some loony buyer with a 0% down ARM.
"the message here is don't bother with the asking price, it's meaningless. look at the comps."
I don't think comps will have much value either, unless you're looking at comps from 2002.
"There have been many instances that know of that I lost customers to other agents in my feeble attempts to save them from themselves."
KL, you sound like a decent, honest person. If some of your clients can't see that, then they're too stupid to realize anything, and will jump head-first into a bad deal regardless of the agent they have.
Hmmm, I hadn't thought of it before, but my Double Agent also threw that "bidding war" chestnut at me. I had a motivated seller (he was moving the next month to California) and the original offering price had already been reduced from $579k to $535k. Don't get too excited, the house was priced far too high Obviously, whomever said "initial offering prices mean nothing" was correct. The house had sold at $488k a year prior, seller had redone retaining walls, hardwood floors, installed all new appliances, electrical, plumbing, fixtures, ripped out ancient shrubs, installed garden beds, new driveway, etc. I still wanted to bid less than $535k, so we settled at $534k with some furniture/fixtures thrown into the mix. I still think I overpaid, but my friend crunched some numbers and said that the price was was fair considering the prior state of the home and the upgrades. It was a 4bd 2ba in a cul de sac, mediocre school district, but good for elementary. Nice neighbors but too many children (a.k.a spawn) toddling around the neighborhood. Nasty deer chewing up the fauna also and potential for Coyotes.
I wanted to bid $525k, but my Double Agent mentioned that there was one last group of buyers coming in THAT EVENING so I kept the price at $534k so as not to alienate the seller.
She was also "not allowed" to cancel the OPEN HOUSE that was scheduled for that weekend. She couldn't cancel it since it had been scheduled less than 10 days prior and her agency would not let her cancel.
Yes, this is what she told me. Now, she would have lost my portion of the sale (3% comission I guess) if I was outbid because she was "buyers agent" also. I wonder what kind of tour she gave prospective buyers? Were the sellers fairly represented in this case? Probably not.
My lawyer (a.k.a God's Real Estate Lawyer) was blowing several simultaneous gaskets and was certain she was setting me up for a bidding war. I told him and her point blank: this is what I'm paying and if I am outbid then it was not meant to be - we had already gone over our projected $500k amount and this was it. Anything higher and our LTV (or whatever the acronym is) would have been a joke. Surprisingly enough, no one else was interested in the home when she marked it "under attorney review" prior to the Open House...Sneaky cheeky Double Agent! Yes, I'm still pissed!
I was just looking through some listings, and have some advice: ask a realtor to send you all "Sold" listings from the last 36 months for the town in which you're looking.
It's really an eye-opener to see what was sold, and for how much.
Buying now is insane.
SPT,
While your agent does sound like a rat fink, I would think that the sales price of $534K given the $488K paid last year was reasonable (not saying the $488K was reasonable in the first place though, just talking about the increase). After paying the 6% commissions the seller is left with about $512K, and the upgrades you mentioned could have easily cost more than $22K. I wouldn't be surprised if the seller took a net loss on that house. We had to replace a retaining wall at our last house and that alone was $15K.
unrealtor: Yes, I'm in 6th row for Madonna but the $350 price is for ALL floor seats and good lower level seats!
The Borgata is a FABULOUS place to see shows. The floor is general admission and the risers are seats, and CF is right in saying that even the seats are close and quite good. It's one of my favorite venues period (although House of Blues at the Showboat now has the best poker room in AC...)
I'll be catching DM at PNC this go around - a venue that still provides excellent value for its lawn seats. Last year many shows were only $5!!! Looking forward to their summer schedule announcement.
Chicagofinance, your ability to combine Lareah and DM into one concise sentence to bring the thread back OT left me both seriously impressed and with a case of the giggles!
In my own attempt to make my comments here germane, let me add that a wide variety of excellent live shows is one of the reasons I'm glad we live in the NYC metro area. I happen to love this kind of entertainment, and had we moved to Asheville, NC it would have been virtually unavailable. NONE of the acts I'm seeing in the next few months (5 shows so far) are playing anywhere near that area - Atlanta would have been the closest. So for all the things that may suck about living here, this is one lovely bright spot for me.
"...But had some of my buyers listened to me a couple years ago they would not have gotten the appreciation they did, so I look like and idiot.
So while I have never said there was an offer when it was'nt told to me I hage having to relay it to my clients, when I have doubted it myself. There have been many instances that know of that I lost customers to other agents in my feeble attempts to save them from themselves.
KL"
KL:
I know the feeling. I don't even have a good answer for you. People's [i.e. client's] perception of what they want trumps EVERYTHING. In my field, [in many instances] there is such a chasm between what people perceive and what is.
We just lost a ten year client who wanted an 8% return with no risk. We said that it wasn't available under current market conditions. They disagreed and went to an insurance specialist who sold them an annuity with a 7-year lock-up, annual fees approaching 3%, and an 8% teaser rate that expires in 12 months.
I mean what are you supposed to say or do?
About 2 years from now these people are going to be really upset when they figure out the mistake they just made. My business is out the money, the client is worse off, and some polyester suit is going to be driving the newest BMW.
Feh!
That's why they invented Scotch!
From the April 2006 edition of the Journal of Financial Planning - the Observe Column. Not that I agree with the conclusion, but it is published in a very public place.
================================
Leaving Home in 2015…
Home prices in the United States could collapse by 2015 if the predictions of a Federal Reserve
economist prove correct. The economist, Robert Martin, out of the Federal Reserve’s division of international finance, says the exit of baby boomers from the workforce, along with a concurrent drop in productivity, will decimate the housing market.
Martin says housing prices will peak between 2005 and 2010, and begin collapsing by 2015. He predicts prices to decline
30 percent on an inflation-adjusted
basis over the next 50 years.
The decline won’t be so severe
if baby boomers work beyond age 65 or if productivity gains are larger than anticipated.
Here's the Borgata seating chart, is this layout the correct one for concerts?
Link 1:
http://www.eventinventory.com/EIBOVenueMap.cfm?eid=237&vid=2972&e_type=2
Link 2:
http://tinyurl.com/efdzg
Seems the "GA" (General Admission) section takes up the first 50 rows, and the assigned seats (sections A through E) are behind all that?
I imagine for DM, people will be camped out at the door at 7:00AM to get up front, so the best one can hope for is 50th row seats?
Some places still sell tickets to the show (at a premium), so if the situation is not as bad as I describe above, please let me know.
Dead Open Houses. No wind in sail.
Boooyaaaaah!
Housing Bust
hehehe
Bob
unrealtor:
The yellow sections on the links you provided (which is correct) are all on risers so you can see above the GA floor people.
Normall for GA shows you have your diehards who show up that morning (camping out isn't allowed). Most people will start to line up around 6PM for 8PM doors though. If you show up at 8PM you could usually expect to have maybe 30 people in front of you for the Borgata.
Warning: once you're in at a GA show, make sure you don't want to go to the bar or the bathroom. Plus, for most acts you need to suffer through an opening act, which can result in lots of standing and a sore back!
Go for riser seats for Borgata, or just pick up a cheapie lawn seat for DM at PNC and have lots of room to spread out and dance! Also still some decent seats left at PNC.
Last year this house was listed originally for $598K and then it was reduced to $579K until the listing was expired
http://listings.gsmls.com/SearchDetail/Scripts/PrtBuyFul/PrtBuyFul.asp?prp=Mls&MlsNumList=2109259
Same house is listed again at $629K. Let's see what happened this time..
http://listings.gsmls.com/SearchDetail/Scripts/PrtBuyFul/PrtBuyFul.asp?EMailKey=17507779&prp=mls
unrealtor:
[apologies to grim and others for hijacking this thread]
The Borgata Event Center has different set-ups, I should have mentioned this issue. The reserve seating on the risers has 5 sections 10-14 seats wide with 25 rows A-Y. From what I recall, there will not be a bad seat in the house, but the stage is low, so if you are short, you will want to avoid General Admission, also the first 4 or 5 rows of the risers are not really above the level of GA. I would think an ideal seat would be Section D [catwalk side] rows E-M.
From what I have heard, when they played there in December, a number of people in the reserve seats decided to go down into the General Admission anyway [they were allowed], and so the risers had many empty seats so people filled in. Whatever you do, try to avoid the last row.
The place is small - 3700.
michelle:
:)
chicago
Thanks all for your help re: wildwood I am actually taking a ride in a couple weeks to book for our summer vacation. I usually book without going down but I want to see the place 1st this time.
My most important question was really for my girlfriends sake, regarding her ability to drop this condo she has gotten herself into. I think her chances are very slim at this point to make money - and will probaly lose money.. but I think they are going to hold out as long as possible with high hopes
"apologies to grim and others for hijacking this thread"
Thanks Michelle and Chicago! I think I'll get tickets.
Oh, and you can't hijack an Open Thread! It's open!
Thanks again.
"I really wanted to go down and stay for my birthday which is the 15th, and its 450 bucks a night!"
Oh yeah, have to consider driving logistics for Atlantic City, so a room must be tacked on the concert ticket price. Ugh, getting pricy for a concert, and the PNC and Jones Beach dates aren't good.
Off to do some hotel room shopping in AC...
Madonna's show is on a Sunday so we've got 3 free rooms booked among my family of gamblers!
AC's rooms are almost always freebies for lots of folks during the week; they make up for it on the weekends I suppose.
CF, I'm shocked that you gamble on 2 games that don't have positive expected value! Would have pegged you as a poker player.
Good luck on your search, unrealtor!
You get "free" rooms in AC because you have already handed your money to the casino at the tables. Nothing to brag about.
Sort of like buying a house in this market that is %20-40 overpriced. A sucker move.
"CF, I'm shocked that you gamble on 2 games that don't have positive expected value! Would have pegged you as a poker player."
I like the "odds" bet in craps. The one bet in the house that pays off true odds to the bet.
BJ is very social.
As we know with real estate, not everything is about good investing.
My rule: whatever I lose, my wife gets to spend an equivalent amount at Ann Taylor, Searle, J.Jill etc.
Don't sound like no positive NPV to me.
:p
"You get "free" rooms in AC because you have already handed your money to the casino at the tables. Nothing to brag about."
Borgata has a standing offer of free rooms from Sunday to Thursday nights. Never stayed there though.
I am a big fan of Starwood Hotels, so I usually stay gratis at the Sheraton on a weekend, as I will on 5/20. Cheapest room is $300+ otherwise.
pesche22:
Isn't the title of this thread "Weekend Open Discussion?"
How can you highjack an open discussion?
I don't mind off-topic discussion. It helps build a sense of community.
The more active the discussion and comments areas are, the more often people visit, and the more often new people tend to stick around.
grim
Ben's Money and Metals blog just posted this one up.
Be prepared for a crisis, EU regulators are told
FINANCIAL regulators in all EU countries are to be asked today to prepare for the collapse of a big hedge fund or a similar sudden financial shock. EU finance ministers and central bankers, meeting in Vienna, were told that the collapse of a hedge fund could now destabilise European financial systems as well as the financial markets.
They have equally raised anxieties about the rapid growth of private equity. They fear that this could unravel if one of the key sources of funds or markets for selling on companies dries up. Officials also argue that many regulators do not understand the risks involved in the £10,000 billion market in credit derivatives, which are traded privately between banks rather than on public exchanges.
I'm beginning to seeg a new realtorspeak buzzword around:
"Price Improved"
Anyone else noticing this lately?
grim
Good morning
Welcome to another miserable day for realtors.
Boooooyaaaah!
Bob
BUBBLE CYCLE
Fools get infactuated with the idea of wealth and the ease with which it could be procured. This bubble has created its own social reality far removed from past standards of value. Caution is tossed aside by many bubble participants and justifications have been made about why things are really different this time in the housing market.
In this housing bubble market, excessive risk has been justified as prudent and those of us that did not buy into this isanity have been brushed aside as to conservative.
Now that the momentum uis sudsiding denial is been entrenched, but initial stages of panic are setting in now.
As the panice deepens over the next 12 months capitulation with hit in anout 12-18 months when things look really dire for sellers and speculators.
I will make sure i am compensated for the BS I had to listen to and the time and patience I have had to endure. Bidding will be a pleasure. price concessions will be the in thing.
Need some advice, please...
I currently live in a rent controlled 4 family building in northern NJ. The owner of the property plans to demolish the building, subdivide and put up two new houses.
I received a letter from the landlord's attorney, requesting that I vacate within 90 days.
I've had one consultation with a lawyer, who told me that the landlord has no legal right to evict.
I've been told that I should have a decent shot at getting a buyout from the owner, and I'm going to hire a lawyer to help me negotiate. I have no idea what $ range to shoot for. Any suggestions?
Thanks in advance!
If the LL lives in one of the units you could be SOL. But if they're all rentals I think you're covered by no-evict laws.
The actual laws are a few keyboard strokes away. Let google show you the way.
I'm definitely covered by the no-evict law. I've done the web research, as well as professional legal consultatations. I just have to make up my mind between two lawyers.
I'm not naive enough to believe that arson, etc. doesn't happen when you try to stand in the way of a builder trying to make a quick $1M, particularly in what I believe is a declining market.
Just wondering what you folks think the going rate would be for a buyout. I'll move on, but I want a "package".
I've lived here 10 years, currently pay $750 for 2BR/1BA w/laundry, parking and yard.
I think that's disgusting. Why do tenants think they're OWED something?
Who are you to stand in the way of what the OWNER wants to do with their property? Where does this sense of entitlement come from? If you'd like to call the shots, then you should hold the title.
You've been given 90 days notice and I think the only thing that should be in your "package" is a swift kick in the butt on the way out.
Any thoughts about the idea of purchasing a condo in the edgewater area along the hudson? From everything I have read here, I am very leary of purchasing anything in the foreseeable future... I know the prices for that area are sky high so I will proably wait anyway.
The LL made a choice to grant a leasehold estate to the tenant in exchange for rent.
The LL knew the rules going in and accepted them as part of business risk.
If the tables were turned and vacancies were a big problem, how would you feel about the tenant saying "who is the OWNER to stand in the way of what the *I* want to do with my tenancy?"
Being a LL means giving up certain rights to the leased property in accordance to the lease agreement and LL-tenant laws.
If a LL doesn't want to deal with these risks then maybe he shouldn't be a LL.
Was out driving around doing errands... Didn't notice as many open house signs as last weekend.
grim
The BubbleTrack blog was out shooting some pictures in Hoboken yesterday.. Worth a look.
For-Sale Sign Fiesta Part II: Hoboken Horror
grim
grim:
nice find - very relevant
FINANCIAL regulators in all EU countries are to be asked today to prepare for the collapse of a big hedge fund or a similar sudden financial shock.
saw this also - for those who are not aware, Little Silvered does a good job with his Shore Blog. It just happens to be very Monmouth/Ocean county specific. The reason I mention it, is that he has ties and interest in Hoboken. He often draws a link between condo buyers in Hoboken are the eventual house buyers in Monmouth County. If people can't sell their condos in Hoboken, they won't be able to buy their first home in the 'burbs. You can use his logic for every town in NNJ.
The BubbleTrack blog was out shooting some pictures in Hoboken yesterday.. Worth a look.
One of the funnier things in hoboken ( i live there btw) is that a good portion of the new residential construction is designed to attract couples and young families.
Unfortunately, there has been very little growth in the retail area to support that market since the prime retail locations are dominated by the following types of stores:
- Realtors
- Banks
- Cell Phone stores (might just be a passing fad, but there are a ton on washington street)
- College oriented bars
Note how little any of those serve the new target demographic. Whats worse, the smaller family run restaurants/businesses are being pushed out with rent increases.
Drove by a house in mountainside with a for sale sign with realtor's name posted underneath. her name was,,,,LINDA LIES... I wanted to stop and take a picture but didn't have time. Too funny.
There's a thread going on at the "kannekt" BBS which tells of wildly successful open houses in Hoboken.
It smells a lot like Realtor® propaganda spam.
Anyone know the REAL DEAL?
Lots and lots of McMansions in Central Jersey being reduced and sitting for months on the market.
790k - 770k - 750k and so it goes.
Inner city condo developments in England are falling apart as price fixing comes to the fore:
www.thisismoney.co.uk/mortgages/article.html?in_article_id=408162&in_page_id=8
Saw many open house signs today, three houses had their third open house since coming on the market a few weeks ago. No takers, apparently.
I will not set foot in an open house until prices become realistic. Leave the sign-in books empty, and give no foot traffic! Let the Realtor™ sit bored and alone from 1-4PM.
Off the wire at Bloomberg:
Global Markets May Be Ready for Reverse After Three-Year Rally
Timing stock markets may be the ultimate sucker's game. The real sucker, though, is the investor who thinks prices will rise forever. Anyone with a memory ought to prepare now for the day stocks stop climbing.
...
The easy-money policies of the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan after the technology bubble burst in 2000 drew investors to stocks and bonds. Now, central banks are steadily tightening monetary policies.
``The monetary helium that inflated this bubble is seeping away,'' Belkin says. ``Markets have had a good run for three years and now most financial assets are extremely overextended and at an inflection point.''
SAW THE MOST OPEN HOUSES EVER.
AND EMPTY NO CARS IN FRONT.
REALTORS STARVING!
BOOOOYAAAAAH!
BOB
BOYCOTT OPEN HOUSES.
NO INTEREST NO COMMISSIONS NO NOTHING!
STARVE REALTORS!
BOOOOOOYAAAAH!
BOB
101 comments in this thread so far, a record?
I'm with you Bob!
Looks like a record. I can't remember ever going over 100 comments.
grim
Could today being Palm Sunday have anything to do with that?
Yes - We had most of our agents taking off today. No open houses for our office.
KL
( none for Easter either )
Went to one open house today, found the realtor sitting on the back porch. Practically had to wake him up.
My, the times are a-changing!
Hee hee hee...
There's a thread going on at the "kannekt" BBS which tells of wildly successful open houses in Hoboken.
It smells a lot like Realtor® propaganda spam.
Well, one thread talked about the success of an FSBO, so its probably not realtor spam.
However, I was most amused to see one supposed FSBO who claimed to have held an open house and got 2 offers, but was unwilling to even disclose the building.
Richard,
I see very little slowing in the rate of inventory added. If anything, the rate is increasing. See the data below for the same time period in January, February, March, and April.
Activity on the GSMLS for Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Morris, Middlesex, Passaic, Somerset, Sussex, Union, Warren. (Note, includes Middlesex)
4/3 - 4/9
1705 New Listings
183 Listings Back On Market
3/2 - 3/9
1559 New Listings
184 Listings Back On Market
2/2 - 2/9
1401 New Listings
189 Back on Market
1/2 - 1/9
1226 New Listings
152 Back on Market
I'll see if I can graph something up.
grim
Well, one thread talked about the success of an FSBO, so its probably not realtor spam.
Of course that assumes that the FSBO claims are not those of a Realtor® in disguise.
Saw huge amount of balloons signs and desperate realtors.
Dropped in on one just for curiousity sake. Realtor said I was first to stop in. About 4:00 or so. Also the realtor said the seller was not realistic with their price. WOW! I was surprised. He did not seem to really care what price it sold for....he just wanted to make a transaction.
The house was junk by the way. I wouldn't even consider it at 50% off.
Realtors should spend more of their time convincing sellers to lower the prices more as opposed to trying to ripoff a buyer.
Same situation in one of the open houses I stopped in last week.
Realtor told me their life story, how they were getting divorced. How the house was at least $100,000 overpriced. How we were only the second couple to stop by.
grim
This weekend seemed very thin to me, I'm not sure where all the open houses were, but I didn't see many. Palm Sunday? Perhaps.
Next weekend? The weather looks great, but we've got Easter and Passover. Both of which will certainly put a damper on sales activity and open houses.
I thought the superbowl was the kick-off of the spring season?
grim
I have been following a site now for almost 2 years and I have found it to be both reliable and profitable. They post daily and their stock trades have been beating
the indexes easily.
Take a look at Wallstreetwinnersonline.com
RickJ
Post a Comment
<< Home